Fed Rate Polymarket Odds: October Fed Pause Leaves Bitcoin Watching December

Fed Rate Polymarket odds put no change at 86% for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on October 27 to 28, with a 25-basis-point increase at 14%. CME’s FedWatch tool, on the other hand points the same way, at 81.7% for no change and 18.3% for a hike. This is not simply a pause in the rate path. The primary source’s summary of September meeting minutes says most participants considered another hike appropriate by year-end, leaving Bitcoin exposed to a later tightening move even if October passes without a change.