Polymarket Odds Put Predict.fun FDV One Day After Launch Above $800 Million

A market contract on Polymarket assigned a 74% probability to Predict.fun’s governance token exceeding an $800 million fully diluted valuation (FDV) at a specified point after a qualifying launch. At 1:19 a.m. ET (05:19 UTC) Thursday, Oct. 22, the probability stood at 74%, up 60% over the preceding 24 hours. The contract concerns a future token valuation, not Predict.fun’s current value. It defines FDV as the token’s total supply multiplied by its price. A launch qualifies only if the token can be publicly transferred and traded. The valuation check takes place at 4 p.m.