Prediction markets had a great election night: Now bettors are turning to which Trump officials could leave first

Traders on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket correctly favored Democrats to win both chambers of Congress, and proved highly accurate in forecasting several key Senate races, helping boost the platforms’ reputation for accuracy. Now, with the midterms behind them, prediction market traders have shifted their attention toward what comes next. At a time when the incoming Democratic majorities are promising to investigate many aspects of the Trump Administration—from the war in Iran to allegations of corruption—traders are placing bets on who could be the next to leave Trump’s Cabinet.